Description: The results of a mortality study for Canadian pensioners are presented. From Actuarial Research Clearing House, January 2000, Volume 1.

Description: Development of annuities markets is a critical element of any private system. In Mexico, when the new pension regimen came into existence in 1997, the Mexican Institute of Social Security [IMSS] was supposed to buy a single premium annuity for all the people who become eligible under the new regime. Disability pensions represent 37% of total pensions sold up to date. Mortality of disables show substantial differences against the mortality table use to compute the annuity. Most of the differences can be explained by looking at the disability causes. Using information for social security for 2001 and 2002, regarding mortality and disability, this is the abstract of a paper that presents the main causes of disability among disables and the main causes of mortality of those disables who died in their first and second year of disability. The analysis of those cases apart from explaining the important differences between the expected mortality and the observed mortality during the first two years of disability, also explains some of the latter changes in the operational rules of IMSS.

Description: This abstract describes a paper that applies generalized linear models to evaluate disability transitions for individuals in old age based on a large sample of U.S. elderly.

Description: This paper discusses the key forces likely to influence U.K. mortality in the 21st century, and describes the methodology and assumptions used in the latest projections of U.K. mortality. The paper also describes recent tables of mortality rates published by the Continuous Mortality Investigation, based on the experience of people taking out insurance contracts and the approaches taken to projecting these.

Description: A case study on starting the actuarial profession in a new location - in this case Kazakhstan.

Description: Realizing the impact of medical errors on the U.S. health care system, the Health Section commissioned a research project to measure the annual frequency of medical errors and their total measurable direct and indirect cost to the economy.

Description: This abstract describes a study that implements a micro-level model on a portfolio of workers compensation claims from a large U.S. P&C insurer.

Description: This abstract describes a paper that considers the valuation of a guaranteed annuity option (GAO) under a generalized modeling set-up where both interest and mortality risks are stochastic and correlated.

Description: Mexico substituted its defined benefit system [IMSS] of the formal sector by a defined contribution system in 1997. The initial plan called for buying single premium annuities for the widows and disabled workers under the new system. In the first three years, this market came to occupy a significant part of the insurance sector. Then, the number of workers getting benefits started to fall dramatically. This is the abstract of a paper that shows that such a fall has been a direct result of how the IMSS authorizes the issuance of single premium annuities. The paper analyses the rationale behind such a dramatic change in policy, analyzes various possible scenarios of IMSS strategies, and examines the problem to see if it brings in any long-term benefits to IMSS.

Description: Using data from 12,571 publicly traded U.S. industrial firms spanning 1980 to 2004 for which quarterly firm specific financial variables and macroeconomic variables are available, this is the abstract of a paper that estimates the probability of bankruptcy/merger for each company and hence a prediction of bankruptcy/merger in the next quarter.